Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.090734 0.101425 0.112502 0.124810 0.138071 0.151904 0.167393
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.077814 0.094207 0.112150 0.133115 0.156804 0.182613 0.212723
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.063464 0.082926 0.105347 0.132763 0.165052 0.201549 0.245586
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.053834 0.075425 0.101466 0.134590 0.174984 0.222039 0.280369
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.045637 0.068368 0.096997 0.134747 0.182233 0.239022 0.311057
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.042149 0.066733 0.098803 0.142314 0.198377 0.266776 0.355042
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039292 0.065474 0.100738 0.149814 0.214391 0.294543 0.399503
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.034612 0.061030 0.097875 0.150558 0.221423 0.310955 0.429964
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.029462 0.055244 0.092569 0.147473 0.223014 0.320182 0.451288
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.027519 0.054074 0.093606 0.152978 0.236010 0.344192 0.491705
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.025287 0.052165 0.093342 0.156495 0.246258 0.364694 0.527859
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.022967 0.049827 0.092200 0.158568 0.254429 0.382480 0.560662
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.020589 0.047275 0.090761 0.160448 0.262852 0.401445 0.596335
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.020426 0.048655 0.095620 0.171972 0.285376 0.440101 0.659080
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.018014 0.045624 0.093157 0.172254 0.291767 0.456926 0.693055
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.016285 0.043648 0.092236 0.174785 0.301402 0.478334 0.733516
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.014390 0.041060 0.090041 0.175119 0.307701 0.495127 0.767901
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.014053 0.041647 0.093352 0.184337 0.327431 0.531074 0.828987
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013714 0.042172 0.096544 0.193416 0.347103 0.567201 0.890758
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.012301 0.040108 0.094873 0.194326 0.354220 0.585401 0.927751
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010473 0.036784 0.090591 0.190615 0.354021 0.592987 0.949953
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.010025 0.036702 0.092400 0.197251 0.370015 0.624195 1.005635
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.009346 0.035940 0.092826 0.201483 0.382283 0.650120 1.054151